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2024-12-13 05:36:05
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Huaxi Securities: In 2025, the rate of RRR cut and interest rate cut may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp. Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that this Politburo meeting revisited "moderately loose monetary policy", and the market inevitably associated with the magnificent combination of monetary and fiscal policies in 2008-2010. Specific to this round of monetary policy, it may be similar to it, not only the tone has changed, but also the framework has changed from the previous cross-cycle (or both cross-cycle and counter-cycle) to counter-cycle adjustment, which is likely to point to an increase in the adjustment range of reserve ratio and policy interest rate. Looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp (the rate in 2024), and the possibility of further increasing the rate in the face of extreme circumstances is not ruled out. The specific degree and duration of easing may depend on the economic situation.CITIC Securities: The main line of the anti-monopoly investigation on domestic chips in NVIDIA is clear. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, on December 9, 2024, the General Administration of Market Supervision launched an investigation on NVIDIA Company in accordance with the law, which is a legal management means to regulate and maintain fair market competition order, and has a leading role in the domestic chip industry, and is expected to boost domestic computing power and market sentiment of chips in a short time. In combination with the increasing emphasis on self-control by relevant domestic departments and industry associations, we expect that the overall localization pace of domestic semiconductor industry is expected to be further accelerated, and the manufacturing link is also expected to benefit.South Korea's Ministry of Finance said in a joint statement that South Korea will actively respond and reverse market sentiment.


Galaxy Securities: When the IP layout of "Millet Economy" was carried out, the china galaxy Securities Research Report indicated that "Millet Economy" was highly prosperous, and high-quality IP was the key. In 2024, IP products will continue to maintain a high degree of popularity, from Xiaoma Baolika brand in the first half of the year to Guzi store and Jellycat pop-up shop since the third quarter, with strong market demand. It is believed that IP creation is the core of "millet" and tide play consumption, and the influence of IP plays an important role in attracting fans and integrating multiple formats. As the key to accumulate users and break the circle of products, high-quality IP can attract consumers and extend the product life cycle. Therefore, in the current environment of high market attention and strong demand, the high prosperity of high-quality IP products is expected to be maintained. It is suggested to follow up on two tracks: the track with stable performance foundation or obvious supply-side recovery, and the track with high cost performance, and the elastic variety with incremental dimension or improvement of external factors: 1) Hong Kong stock Internet: the profit improvement expectation of Head Internet Company is strengthened, and the cost performance of investment is prominent. It is suggested to pay attention to Tencent Holdings, which has steady growth in various businesses and stable fundamentals, and the Internet video platform company, which turned losses for the first time in a single quarter and continuously improved its profitability. 2) Publishing industry: The publishing industry will accelerate the development of digitalization, personalization, customization and intelligence, and the new amount of AI+ publishing and research business will bring new opportunities to the industry, and the market value management of central enterprises will be included in the assessment. It is suggested to pay attention to: Shandong Publishing and Southern Media, which are stable in fundamentals and have certain business incremental space; 3) Cinema & Game Industry: High-quality content is always a scarce resource in the industry. It is suggested to pay attention to the game and cinema companies under AI empowerment: Shenzhou Taiyue, Bona Film, WANDA CINEMAS and so on, which have rich content reserves. 4) With regard to IP derivatives, it is recommended to pay attention to POP MART, the leader of the IP craze retail market.Ping An Securities: In 2025, the A-share market will have more flexibility in the slow-release growth style of key pricing risks. Ping An Securities Research Report pointed out that in 2025, the A-share market will have more flexibility in the slow-release growth style of key pricing risks. Specifically, structural investment opportunities are increasing. 1) scientific and technological innovation, that is, technology industries that benefit from the support of domestic new quality productivity policies and can cope with overseas risks, including TMT and artificial intelligence; 2) Manufacturing growth, that is, advanced manufacturing sectors with global competitiveness and expected marginal improvement in industrial structure, including power equipment (photovoltaic, lithium battery, etc.), new energy vehicles, national defense and military industry, etc.; 3) domestic demand consumption, that is, the consumption sector that is expected to be repaired by fundamentals under the support of domestic demand policy, and pay attention to some real estate infrastructure chains that are reversed; 4) Commodity price increase, paying attention to ferrous metals that benefit from the stabilization of real estate, and other commodity price increase sectors with potential disturbances on the supply side.The introduction of detailed measures for the supervision of centralized drug consumables emphasizes the priority of using the selected products. Recently, the Notice of the National Health and Health Committee of the National Medical Insurance Bureau on Improving the Working Mechanism of Centralized Drug Purchasing and Implementation put forward detailed measures to strengthen the supervision of the admission, use, monitoring and assessment of centralized drug consumables. The local authorities are required to conduct investigations from the third month after centralized procurement, and urge medical institutions to give priority to the use of selected products and rationally manage the use of non-selected drugs. Emphasis is placed on the dynamic monitoring of the online price and purchase volume of centralized varieties, and institutions that fail to complete the agreed purchase volume will be regarded as unqualified. It is required to improve the provincial consultation mechanism for centralized procurement, ensure stable supply, and at the same time promote comprehensive supervision in coordination, curb unhealthy practices, and promote the priority use of selected drugs and consumables. (Official WeChat official account of the National Medical Insurance Bureau)


CITIC Securities: Short-term home fundamentals are expected to usher in a window of policy improvement, and we can bargain and seize the opportunity of valuation repair. CITIC Securities recently reported that the situation in the light industry has been severe since 2024, but it still presents three bright spots: channel reconstruction of the personal care industry, internationalization of the tobacco industry and asset integration of the metal packaging industry. The above-mentioned opportunities for subdividing the track are expected to continue and be further strengthened in 2025. Short-term home fundamentals are expected to usher in a policy improvement window, which can be laid out on dips, seize the opportunity of valuation repair, pay attention to industry demand and policy continuity, and attach importance to reasonable valuation intervals. In 2025, the papermaking and paper packaging industries will benefit from the recovery of consumption.Details of the arrest of the person involved in the killing of the CEO of the insurance giant in new york surfaced: Luigi Mangione, who was regarded by the new york police as the person involved in the murder of Brian Thompson, an executive of UnitedHealth Group Inc, was arrested in Pennsylvania on Monday, and now he is accused of possessing illegal firearms and using false identification. According to the criminal indictment issued by the Pennsylvania court system on Monday night, Mangione, 26, made her first appearance in the court in Hollidaysburg. He was charged with five counts, including forgery, holding a gun without a license and showing false documents to law enforcement agencies. Mangione was detained by the police after being recognized and reported by employees in a McDonald's restaurant in Altoona that morning. The police officer asked him to show his identity, and Mangione took out a New Jersey driver's license named "Mark Rosario" and the date of birth was July 1998. The police officer then asked him if he had been to new york recently. "The man fell silent and began to tremble," the indictment said. When more police arrived at the scene, Mangione was told that he was under investigation and would be arrested if he lied about his identity. He later said that his name was Luigi Mangione and that he was born in May 1998. A police officer asked Mangione why he lied, and he replied, "I obviously shouldn't." The police arrested him on charges of forgery and providing false information to law enforcement agencies. He was handcuffed, searched and taken back to the police station. A black pistol and a silencer were found in his backpack, both of which were made of 3D printers. This pistol has a metal sleeve, a metal threaded barrel and a plastic handle, and a Glock magazine with six 9mm bullets. A dropped bullet was also found in the defendant's backpack.Tencent Video announced that it will adjust the rights and interests of VIP devices, and the rights and interests of old members will remain unchanged. Tencent Video released a statement on the adjustment of member rights and interests, saying that it will adjust the rights and interests of Tencent Video VIP devices from December 16, 2024. Tencent video VIP members who purchase, collect and activate after 0:00 on December 16th, 2024 can log in with 3 devices and play with 1 device at the same time within the validity period of this order member. Tencent Video said that the rights and interests of VIP old members remain unchanged: Tencent video VIP members who have subscribed for a continuous monthly/quarterly/annual subscription before December 16, 2024, if they continue to subscribe, will enjoy the rights of logging in 5 devices and playing 2 devices at the same time. Tencent video VIP members who purchase, collect and activate monthly/seasonal/annual cards before December 16th, 2024 can also enjoy the rights of logging in 5 devices and playing 2 devices at the same time within the validity period of this order member. Tencent video SVIP membership rights are not affected by this adjustment and remain unchanged.

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